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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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Frank M. Bass


Home Page:

http://www.frankmbass.org/

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Most Recent NPF Publication: 2008
First NPF Publication: 1963
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NPF Publication Count: 24.00
Adjusted Count: 13.25
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NPF Publications:

Kim, Taesun, Frank M. Bass, Portia Isaacson Bass. 2008. The exploration of systematic change in Bass model parameters using hierarchical Bayes modeling. Conference Presentation, 2008 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference.

Jiang, Zhengrui, Frank M. Bass, Portia Isaacson Bass. 2006. The virtual Bass model and the left-hand truncation bias in diffusion of innovation studies. International Journal of Research in Marketing 23 (1) 93-106.

Bass, Frank M. 2004. Comments on "A new product growth for model consumer durables." Management Science 50, 12 1833-1840.

Bass, Portia Isaacson, Frank M. Bass. 2004. IT waves: two completed generational diffusion models. Working Paper.

Bass, Frank M., K. Gordon, T. L. Ferguson, M. L. Githens. 2001. DIRECTV: forecasting diffusion of a new technology prior to product launch. Interfaces 31 82–93.

Bass, Portia Isaacson, Frank M. Bass. 2001. Diffusion of technology generations: a model of adoption and repeat sales. Working Paper.

Bass, Frank M., Dipak C. Jain, Trichy V. Krishnan. 2000. Modeling the marketing influence in new product diffusion. In New-Product Diffusion Models. V. Mahajan, E. Muller, & Y. Wind (Eds.) London: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Krishnan, Trichy V., Frank M. Bass, V. Kumar. 2000. Impact of a late entrant on the diffusion of a new product/service. Journal of Marketing Research 37 (2) 269–278.

Krishnan, Trichy V., Frank M. Bass, Dipak C. Jain. 1999. Optimal pricing strategy for new products. Management Science 45 (12) 1650–1663.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1995. Diffusion of new products: empirical generalizations and managerial uses. Marketing Science 14 (2) 79-88.

Bass, Frank M., Trichy V. Krishnan, Dipak C. Jain. 1994. Why the Bass model fits without decision variables. Marketing Science 13(3) 203–223.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1993. New-product diffusion models. In Handbook in operations research and management science: Chapter 8. Marketing, vol. 5. Amsterdam, Netherlands: North Holland.

Padmanabhan, V., Frank M. Bass. 1993. Optimal pricing of successive generations of product advances. International Journal of Research in Marketing 10 185–207.

Norton, John A., Frank M. Bass. 1992. Evolution of technological generations: the law of capture. Sloan Management Review 33 (2) 66–77.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1990. New product diffusion models in marketing: a review and directions for research. Journal of Marketing 54 1–26.

Jamieson, Linda F., Frank M. Bass. 1989. Adjusting stated intention measures to predict trial purchase of new products: a comparison of models and methods. Journal of Marketing Research 26.3 (1989) 336-345.

Norton, John A., Frank M. Bass. 1987. A diffusion theory model of adoption and substitution for successive generations of high-technology products. Management Science 33 (9) 1069–1086.

Bass, Frank M. 1986. The adoption of a marketing model: comments and observations. In Innovation Diffusion Models of New Product Acceptance, Vijay Mahajan and Yoram Wind, eds., Cambridge, MA: Ballinger Publishing Company.

Rao, Ram C., Frank M. Bass. 1985. Competition, strategy, and price dynamics: a theoretical and empirical investigation. Journal of Marketing Research 22 (August) 283-296.

Bass, Frank M., Alain V. Bultez. 1982. A note on optimal strategic pricing of technological innovations. Marketing Science 1 371–378.

Bass, Frank M. 1980. The relationship between diffusion rates, experience curves, and demand elasticities for consumer durable technological innovations. Journal of Business 53 51–67.

Bass, Frank M. 1969. A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Science 15 215–227.

Bass, Frank M. 1967. A new product growth model for consumer durables. Working Paper.

Bass, Frank M. 1963. A dynamic model of market share and sales behavior. ” Conference Proceedings, Winter Conference American Marketing Association 1963, Chicago, IL.

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NPF Subjects:

advertising

analogy, forecasting by

application of diffusion model

Bass model

bias, left hand truncation

competition, alliances, firm entry and product launch timing

consumer durables

decision variables

diffusion models -- perspective, tutorial, comparison and review

estimation

experience curve

generalized Bass model

hazard models

information technology

marketing mix

multiproduct, intercategory, generational and contingent diffusion and substitution

Norton Bass model

price

purchase intentions

repeat, replacement and multiple purchases

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Empirical Cases:

Air Conditioners, Room | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Answering Machines | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Bed Coverings, Electric | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Clothes Dryers | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Coffeemakers, Automatic | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Freezers | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

IBM General Purpose Computers | USA Annual Systems in Use | Phister, Jr., Montgomery. 1979. Data Processing Technology and Economics, 2nd Edition.

IBM Mainframes | USA Annual Systems in Use | Mahajan Muller 1996

Lawn Mowers | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Refrigerators | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Steam Irons | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Televisions, BW | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Televisions, Color | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Tetracycline | Four Illinois Cities Monthly Adopters by Physicians | Coleman Menzel Katz 1962



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