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Debecker, Alain, Theodore Modis. 1994. Determination of the uncertainties in s-curve logistic fits. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 46.2 153-173.
Modis, Theodore. 1992. Predictions society's telltale signature reveals the past and forecasts the future. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Modis, Theodore, Alain Debecker. 1988. Innovation in the computer industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 33 (May) 267-278.
computer industry
diffusion models -- perspective, tutorial, comparison and review
logistic curve
uncertainty
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