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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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Eitan Muller


Home Page:

http://www.hitechmarkets.net/

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Most Recent NPF Publication: 2008
First NPF Publication: 1978
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NPF Publication Count: 43.00
Adjusted Count: 16.17
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NPF Publications:

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller. 2008. The value of opinion leaders in the diffusion of innovations. Conference Presentation, 2008 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference.

Yogev, Guy, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2008. The diffusion of freewares. Conference Presentation, 2008 INFORMS Marketing Science Conference.

Muller, Eitan, Renana Peres, Vijay Mahajan. 2007. Innovation diffusion and new product growth: beyond a theory of communication. Working Paper.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller, Sarit Moldovan. 2006. The NPV of bad news. International Journal of Research in Marketing 24 186-200.

Muller, Eitan, Guy Yogev. 2006. When does the majority become a majority: empirical analysis of the time at which main market adopters purchase the bulk of our sales. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 73 (10) 1107-1120.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2006. Is the bandwagon rolling: the chilling effect of network externalities on new product growth. Working Paper. Tel Aviv University.

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller, Renana Peres. 2006. The diffusion of services. Working Paper, Tel Aviv University.

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller, Renana Peres. 2006. The evolution of markets in the case of seeding. Working Paper.

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller, Renana Peres. 2006. The growth of markets under within-brand and cross-brand word of mouth. Working Paper.

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller, Renana Peres. 2006. The influence of within-brand and cross brand word-of-mouth on the growth of competitive markets. Working Paper, Tel Aviv University.

Stremersch, Stefan, Eitan Muller. 2006. Growth acceleration across technology generations. Working Paper.

Libai, Barak, Eitan Muller, Renana Peres. 2005. The role of seeding in multi-market entry. International Journal of Research in Marketing 22 (4) 375-393.

Garber, Tal, Jacob Goldenberg, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2004. From density to destiny: using spatial dimension of sales data for early prediction of new product success. Marketing Science 23 (3) 419–428.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2002. Riding the saddle: how cross-market communications can create a major slump in sales. Journal of Marketing 66(April) 1–16.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2001. Using complex systems analysis to advance marketing theory development: modeling heterogeneity effects on new product growth through stochastic cellular automata. Academy of Marketing Science Review 9 1-27.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2001. Talk of the network: a complex systems look at the underlying process of word-of-mouth. Marketing Letters 12 (3) 209–221.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Yoram Wind. 2000. New-Product diffusion models. Boston: Kluwer Academic.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Yoram Wind. 2000. New product diffusion models: from theory to practice. ” In New-Product Diffusion Models, ed. Mahajan, V., Eitan Muller, Yoram Wind, Boston: Kluwer Academic.

Venkatesh, R., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 2000. Dynamic co-marketing alliances: when and why do they succeed or fail? International Journal of Research in Marketing 17 1-31.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1998. When is it worthwhile targeting the majority instead of the innovators in a new product launch? Journal of Marketing Research 35 488-495.

Givon, Moshe, Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1997. Assessing the relationship between user-based market share and unit salesbased market share for pirated software brands in competitive markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 55 131–144.

Heiman, Amir, Eitan Muller. 1996. Using demonstration to increase new product acceptance: controlling demonstration time. Journal of Marketing Research (33) 1-11.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1996. Timing, diffusion and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: the IBM mainframe case. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 51 109–132.

Kalish, Shlomo, Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1995. Waterfall and sprinkler new product strategies in competitive global markets. International Journal of Research in Marketing 12 105–119.

Givon, Moshe, Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1995. Software piracy: estimation of lost sales and the impact on software diffusion. Journal of Marketing 59 29–37.

Jain, Dipak C., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1995. An approach for determining optimal product sampling for the diffusion of a new product. Journal of Product Innovation Management 12 124-135.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1995. Diffusion of new products: empirical generalizations and managerial uses. Marketing Science 14 (2) 79-88.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1994. Innovation diffusion in a borderless global market: will the 1992 unification of the European community accelerate diffusion of new ideas, products, and technologies? Technological Forecasting and Social Change 45 221-235.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1993. New-product diffusion models. In Handbook in operations research and management science: Chapter 8. Marketing, vol. 5. Amsterdam, Netherlands: North Holland.

Jain, Dipak C., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1991. Innovation diffusion in the presence of supply restrictions. Marketing Science 10 (1) 83–90.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1991. Pricing and diffusion of primary and contingent product. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 39 291-307.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass. 1990. New product diffusion models in marketing: a review and directions for research. Journal of Marketing 54 1–26.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Rajendra K. Srivastava. 1990. Determination of adopter categories using innovation diffusion models. Journal of Marketing Research 27 (1) 37–50.

Fershtman, Chaim, Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1990. Market share pioneering advantage: a theoretical approach. Management Science 36 900-918.

Dolan, Robert J., Abel P. Jeuland, Eitan Muller. 1986. Models of new product diffusion: extension to competition against existing and potential firms over time. In Innovation Diffusion Models of New Product Acceptance. Mahajan, V. Wind, Y. (Eds.) Cambridge, Mass: Ballinger.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1986. Advertising pulsing policies for generating awareness for new products. Marketing Science 5 (Spring) 89-106.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Roger A. Kerin. 1984. Introduction strategy for new products with positive and negative word-of-mouth. Management Science 30 (December) 1389-1404.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller, Subhash Sharma. 1984. An empirical comparison of awareness forecasting models of new product acceptance. Marketing Science 3 (Summer) 179-197.

Easingwood, Christopher J., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1983. A nonuniform influence innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance. Marketing Science 2 273–296.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1982. Innovative behavior and repeat-purchase diffusion models. Conference Proceedings. AMA 1982 Educators . Series No. 48. Chicago: American Marketing Association.

Easingwood, Christopher J., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1981. A nonsymmetric responding logistic model for forecasting technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 20 199–213.

Mahajan, Vijay, Eitan Muller. 1979. Innovation diffusion and new product growth models in marketing. Journal of Marketing 43 (Fall) 55-68.

Dodson, Jr., Joe A., Eitan Muller. 1978. Models of new product diffusion through advertising and word-of-mouth. Management Science 24 (November) 1568-1578.

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NPF Subjects:

advertising

application of diffusion model

awareness forecasting

bandwagon effects

Bass model

cellular automata

chasm

competition, alliances, firm entry and product launch timing

complex systems

demonstrations, product

diffusion models -- perspective, tutorial, comparison and review

game theory

health care

heterogeneity

innovators, imitators, laggards, etc.

logistic curve

multinational

multinational diffusion

multiproduct, intercategory, generational and contingent diffusion and substitution

network effects

price

repeat, replacement and multiple purchases

saddle

software

spatial diffusion

supply restrictions

word of mouth, social contagion and social networks

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Empirical Cases:

Air Conditioners, Room | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Clothes Dryers | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Dishwashers | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

IBM Mainframes | USA Annual Systems in Use | Mahajan Muller 1996

IBM Mainframes | USA Annual Systems in Use | Phister, Jr., Montgomery. 1979. Data Processing Technology and Economics, 2nd Edition.

Televisions, BW | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

Televisions, Color | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States



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