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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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John H. Roberts


Home Page:

http://www2.agsm.edu.au/

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Most Recent NPF Publication: 2005
First NPF Publication: 1983
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NPF Publication Count: 13.00
Adjusted Count: 6.00
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NPF Publications:

Roberts, John H., Charles J. Nelson, Pamela Danvers Morrison. 2005. A prelaunch diffusion model for evaluating market defense strategies. Marketing Science 24 (1) 150-164.

Roberts, John H., Pamela Danvers Morrison, Charles J. Nelson. 2004. Implementing a prelaunch diffusion model: measurement and management challenges of the Telstra switching study. Marketing Science 23(2) 186–191.

Roberts, John H., Charles J. Nelson, Pamela Danvers Morrison. 2002. Defending the beachhead: Telstra vs Optus. Working Paper.

Roberts, John H., James M. Lattin. 2000. Disaggregate-Level diffusion models. ” In New-Product Diffusion Models, ed. V. Mahajan, Eitan Muller, and Yoram Wind, Boston: Kluwer Academic.

Lattin, James M., John H. Roberts. 2000. The application of an individual level diffusion model prior to launch. Working Paper.

Lattin, A., John H. Roberts. 1999. Calibrating a restricted parameter individual level diffusion model prior to launch. Working Paper, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, CA.

Midgley, David F., Pamela Danvers Morrison, John H. Roberts. 1992. The effect of network structure in industrial diffusion processes. Research Policy 21(6) 533-552.

Midgley, David F., Pamela Danvers Morrison, John H. Roberts. 1991. The nature of communication networks between organizations involved in the diffusion of technological innovations. Advances in Consumer Research 18 635-643.

Urban, Glen L., John R. Hauser, John H. Roberts. 1990. Prelaunch forecasting of new automobiles: models and implementation. Management Science 36, 4 401-421.

Roberts, John H., Glen L. Urban. 1988. Modeling multiattribute utility, risk, and belief dynamics for new consumer durable brand choice. Management Science 34 (2) 167–185.

Lattin, James M., John H. Roberts. 1988. The role of individual-level risk-adjusted utility in the diffusion of innovation. Working Paper. Stanford University.

Lattin, James M., John H. Roberts. 1988. Modeling the role of risk-adjusted utility in the diffusion of innovation. Working Paper. Graduate School of Business, Stanford University.

Roberts, John H. 1983. A multiattribute utility diffusion model theory and application to the pre-launch forecasting of automobiles. Dissertation. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management.

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NPF Subjects:

automobile market

choice models

competition, alliances, firm entry and product launch timing

diffusion model, individual level

forecasting, prelaunch

network effects

purchase intentions

word of mouth, social contagion and social networks

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Empirical Cases: None



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