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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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Jacob Goldenberg


Home Page:

http://pluto.huji.ac.il/

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Most Recent NPF Publication: 2007
First NPF Publication: 2000
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NPF Publication Count: 12.00
Adjusted Count: 4.20
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NPF Publications:

Goldenberg, Jacob, Shaul Oreg. 2007. Laggards in disguise: resistance to adopt and the leapfrogging effect. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 74 1272-1281.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller, Sarit Moldovan. 2006. The NPV of bad news. International Journal of Research in Marketing 24 186-200.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2006. Is the bandwagon rolling: the chilling effect of network externalities on new product growth. Working Paper. Tel Aviv University.

Moldovan, Sarit, Jacob Goldenberg, Amitava Chattopadhyay. 2006. What drives word-of-mouth: the roles of product originality and usefulness. ” Working Paper. MSI Series 06-111.

Garber, Tal, Jacob Goldenberg, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2004. From density to destiny: using spatial dimension of sales data for early prediction of new product success. Marketing Science 23 (3) 419–428.

Moldovan, Sarit, Jacob Goldenberg. 2004. Cellular automata modeling of resistance to innovations: effects and solutions. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 71 425-442.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2002. Riding the saddle: how cross-market communications can create a major slump in sales. Journal of Marketing 66(April) 1–16.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2001. Using complex systems analysis to advance marketing theory development: modeling heterogeneity effects on new product growth through stochastic cellular automata. Academy of Marketing Science Review 9 1-27.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Donald R. Lehmann, David Mazursky. 2001. The idea itself and the circumstances of its emergence as predictors of new product success. Management Science 47(1) 69–84.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller. 2001. Talk of the network: a complex systems look at the underlying process of word-of-mouth. Marketing Letters 12 (3) 209–221.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Sol Efroni. 2001. Using cellular automata modeling of the emergence of innovations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 68 293-308.

Goldenberg, Jacob, Barak Libai, S. Solomon, N. Jan, D. Stauffer. 2000. Marketing percolation. Physica 284 335–347.

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NPF Subjects:

bandwagon effects

cellular automata

complex systems

heterogeneity

innovators, imitators, laggards, etc.

leapfrogging

network effects

saddle

spatial diffusion

success factors

word of mouth, social contagion and social networks

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Empirical Cases: None



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