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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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Televisions, Color | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States

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DID:42
Case Name:Televisions, Color | USA Annual Unit Sales | Statistical Abstract of the United States
Product:Televisions, Color
Region:USA
Data Source:Statistical Abstract of the United States
Measure:Unit Sales
Measure:Penetration
Interval:Annual
Period:1960-1989
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Case Used by:

Pae, Jae H, Donald R. Lehmann. 2003. Multigeneration innovation diffusion: the impact of intergeneration time. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 31 36-45.

Golder, Peter N., Gerard J. Tellis. 1998. Beyond diffusion: an affordability model of the growth of new consumer durables. Journal of Forecasting 17 259-280.

Golder, Peter N., Gerard J. Tellis. 1997. Will it ever fly: modeling the takeoff of really new consumer durables. Marketing Science 16 (3) 256–270.

Parker, Philip M. 1992. Price elasticity dynamics over the product life cycles. Journal of Marketing Research 29(3) 358–367.

Tanny, Stephen M., Nicholas A. Derzko. 1988. Innovators and imitators in innovation diffusion modeling. Journal of Forecasting 7 (4) 225-234.

Mahajan, Vijay, Charlotte H. Mason, V. Seenu Srinivasan. 1986. An evaluation of estimation procedures for new product diffusion models. In Innovation Diffusion Models of New Product Acceptance, Vijay Mahajan and Yoram Wind, eds. Cambridge, MA: Ballinger Publishing Company.

Rao, Sanjay Kumar. 1985. An empirical comparison of sales forecasting models. Journal of Product Innovation Management 2 (December) 232-242.

Easingwood, Christopher J., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1983. A nonuniform influence innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance. Marketing Science 2 273–296.

Schmittlein, David C., Vijay Mahajan. 1982. Maximum likelihood estimation for an innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance. Marketing Science 1 (1) 57–78.

Bass, Frank M. 1969. A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Science 15 215–227.

Bass, Frank M. 1967. A new product growth model for consumer durables. Working Paper.

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Chart 42_1

Chart 42_2

YearUnit SalesHousehold Penetration
1960120000
1961
1962
19637470000.017
19641480000
196526460000.051
196650920000.095
196757770000.15
196859810000.262
196959620000.357
197048220000.382
197163490000.425
197279080000.607
1973100730000.671
197484110000.715
197564850000.744
197677000000.777
197791070000.813
1978102360000.852
197997930000.898
198010855000
1981112620000.823
1982113770000.848
198313939000
1984159460000.88
198516894000
198618855000
198718473000
198819173000
198920955000

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