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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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logistic curve


Definition:
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Count: 16
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Publications:

Gutierrez, R., A. Nafidi, R. Gutierrez Sanchez. 2005. Forecasting total natural gas consumption in Spain by using the stochastic Gompertz innovation diffusion model. Applied Energy 80 115–124.

Meade, Nigel, Towhidul Islam. 2001. Forecasting the diffusion of innovations. In Principles of forecasting. J. S. Armstrong (Ed.), Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Meade, Nigel, Towhidul Islam. 1998. Technological forecasting: model selection, model stability and combining models. Management Science 44 1115–1130.

Meade, Nigel, Towhidul Islam. 1995. Forecasting with growth curves: an empirical comparison. International Journal of Forecasting 11 199–215.

Debecker, Alain, Theodore Modis. 1994. Determination of the uncertainties in s-curve logistic fits. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 46.2 153-173.

Bewley, Ronald, Denzil G. Fiebig. 1988. Flexible logistic growth model with applications in telecommunications. International Journal of Forecasting 4 177–192.

Oren, Shmuel S., Rick G. Schwartz. 1988. Diffusion of new products in risk-sensitive markets. Journal of Forecasting 7 231–287.

Tanny, Stephen M., Nicholas A. Derzko. 1988. Innovators and imitators in innovation diffusion modeling. Journal of Forecasting 7 (4) 225-234.

Oliver, Robert M. 1987. A Bayesian model to predict saturation and logistic growth. Journal of the Operational Research Society 38 (1) 49-56.

McGowan, Ian. 1986. The use of growth curves in forecasting market development. Journal of Forecasting 5 (1) 69-71.

Harvey, A. C. 1984. Time series forecasting based on the logistic curve. Journal of the Operational Research Society 35 641–646.

Meade, Nigel. 1984. The use of growth curves in forecasting market development – a review and appraisal. Journal of Forecasting 3 429–451.

Sharp, J. A. 1984. An interpretation of the non-symmetric responding logistic model in terms of price and experience effects. Journal of Forecasting 3 (4) 453-456.

Easingwood, Christopher J., Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller. 1981. A nonsymmetric responding logistic model for forecasting technological substitution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 20 199–213.

Bain, A. D. 1963. Demand for new commodities. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 16 285–299.

Nelder, J. A. 1962. An alternative form of a generalized logistic equation. Biometrics 18 (December) 614-616.



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