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New-Product Forecasting Research with Focus on Diffusion Modeling

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New-Product Forecasting Research

Journal, Book, etc Index

Journal Advances in Consumer Research

Midgley, Morrison and Roberts 1991 - The nature of communication networks between organizations involved in the diffusion of technological innovations

Journal American Economic Review

Chow 1967 - Technological change and demand for computers

Journal American Journal of Agricultural Economics

Hiebert 1974 - Risk, learning and the adoption of fertilizer responsive seed varieties

Feder and O’Mara 1982 - On information and innovation diffusion: a Bayesian approach

Journal American Journal of Sociology

Burt 1987 - Social contagion and innovation: cohesion versus structural equivalence

Strang Tuma 1993 - Spatial and temporal heterogeneity in diffusion

Van den Bulte and Lilien 2001 - Medical innovation revisited: social contagion versus marketing effort

Journal American Sociological Review

Becker 1970 - Sociometric location and innovativeness: reformulation and extension of the diffusion model

Journal Annals of Economic and Social Measurement

Sarris 1973 - A Bayesian approach to estimation of time-varying regression coefficients

Sant 1977 - Generalized least squares applied to time varying parameter models

Journal Annals of Operations Research

Swami and Khairnar 2006 - Optimal normative policies for marketing of products with limited availability

Journal Applied Economics

Bayus and Carlstrom 1990 - Grouping durable goods

Haldar and Rao 1998 - A micro-analytic threshold model for the timing of first purchases of durable goods

Journal Applied Energy

Guttie´rrez, Nafidi and Guttie´rrez Sa´nchez 2005 - Forecasting total natural gas consumption in Spain by using the stochastic Gompertz innovation diffusion model

Journal Bell Journal of Economics

Reinganum 1981 - Market structure and the diffusion of new technology

Journal Biometrics

Nelder 1962 - An alternative form of a generalized logistic equation

Journal Computational & Mathematical Organization Theory

Delre Jager Janssen 2007 - Diffusion dynamics in small-world networks with heterogeneous consumers

Journal Computers and Geoscience

Suslick, Harris and Allan 1995 - SERFIT: an algorithm to forecast mineral trends

Journal Computers and Operations Research

Mesak 1996 - Incorporating price, advertising, and distribution into diffusion models of innovation: some theoretical and empirical results

Journal Contemporary Sociology

Brown 1981 - Innovation diffusion: a new perspective

Journal Econometrica

Mansfield 1961 - Technical change and the rate of imitation

Pesaran Deaton 1978 - Testing non-nested nonlinear regression models

Dixon 1980 - Hybrid corn revisited

Journal Economic and Social Review

McCarthy Ryan 1976 - An econometric model of television ownership

Journal Economic Geography

Allaway, Black, Richard and Mason 1994 - Evolution of a retail market area: an event-history model of spatial diffusion

Journal Economic Journal

Stoneman 1981 - Intra-Firm diffusion, Bayesian learning and profitability

Gort and Klepper 1982 - Time paths in the diffusion of product innovations

Journal Economics of Innovation and New Technology

Zettelmeyer and Stoneman 1992 - Testing alternative models of new product diffusion

Journal Educational Administration Quarterly

Lawton Lawton 1979 - An autocatalytic model for the diffusion of educational innovations

Journal European Economic Review

Gruber and Verbovan 2001 - The diffusion of mobile telecommunication services in the European Union

Journal European Journal of Marketing

Lancaster and Wright 1983 - Forecasting the future of video using a diffusion model

Journal European Journal of Operational Research

Lawrence and Geurts 1984 - Converging conflicting forecasting parameters in forecasting durable new product sales

Gottardi and Scarso 1994 - Diffusion models in forecasting: a comparison with the box–jenkins approach

Druehl Schmidt Souza 2007 - The optimal pace of product updates

Emmanouilides Davies 2007 - Modeling and estimation of social interaction effects in new products diffusion

Journal European Journal of Operations Research

Islam and Meade 2000 - Modelling diffusion and replacement

Journal Hong Kong Journal of Business Management

Speece MacLachlan 1994 - Forecasting Hong Kong fax installations with a new product diffusion model

Journal IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management

Tornatzky and Klein 1982 - Innovation characteristics and innovation adoption-implementation: a meta-analysis of findings

Kumar and Kumar 1992 - Technological innovation diffusion: the proliferation of substitution model and easing the user dilemma

Speece and MacLachlan 1992 - Forecasting fluid milk package type with a multi-generation new product diffusion model

Libertore and Bream 1997 - Adoption and implementation of digital-imaging technology in the banking and insurance industries

Teng, Grover and Guttler 2002 - Information technology innovations: general diffusion patterns and its relationships to innovation characteristics

Journal Industrial Marketing Management

Choffray and Lilien 1986 - A decision-support system for evaluating sales prospects and launch strategies for new products

Kim and Srivastava 1998 - Managing intraorganizational diffusion of technological innovations

Journal Information Technology and Management

Kauffman and Techatassanasoontorn 2005 - International diffusion of digital mobile technology: a coupled-hazard state-based approach

Journal Interfaces

Bass, Gordon, Ferguson and Githens 2001 - DIRECTV: forecasting diffusion of a new technology prior to product launch

Fader and Hardie 2001 - Forecasting repeat sales at CDNOW: a case study

Journal International Economic Review

Eaton and Kortum 1999 - International technology diffusion: theory and measurement

Journal International Economics and Policy

Kiiski and Pohjola 2002 - Cross-country diffusion of the internet

Journal

International Journal of Forecasting

Armstrong, Brodie and McIntyre 1987 - Forecasting methods for marketing – review of empirical research

Bewley and Fiebig 1988 - Flexible logistic growth model with applications in telecommunications

Easingwood 1989 - An analogical approach to long term forecasting of consumer durable sales

Parker 1994 - Aggregate diffusion forecasting models in marketing: a critical review

Meade and Islam 1995 - Forecasting with growth curves: an empirical comparison

Fildes and Kumar 2002 - Telecommunications demand forecasting: a review

Islam, Fiebig and Meade 2002 - Modelling multinational telecommunications demand with limited data

Jun, Kim, Park, Park and Wilson 2002 - Forecasting telecommunication service subscribers in substitutive and competitive environments

Kumar, Nagpal and Venkatesan 2002 - Forecasting category sales and market share for wireless telephone subscribers: a combined approach

Venkatesan and Kumar 2002 - A genetic algorithms approach to growth phase forecasting of wireless subscribers

Bewley and Griffiths 2003 - The penetration of cds in the sound recording market: issues in specification, model selection and forecasting

Meade and Islam 2006 - Modeling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation - a 25 year review

Journal International Journal of Industrial Organisation

Antonelli 1985 - The diffusion of an organizational innovation

Baptista 1999 - The diffusion of process innovations: a selective review

Journal International Journal of Industrial Organization

Tonks 1986 - The demand for information and the diffusion of a new product

Battisti Stoneman 2005 - The intra-firm diffusion of new process technologies

Dinlersoz Pereira 2007 - On the diffusion of electronic commerce

Journal

International Journal of Research in Marketing

Easingwood 1987 - Early product lifecycle forms for infrequently purchased major products

Kamakura and Balasubramanian 1988 - Long-term view of the diffusion of durables

Noteboom 1989 - Diffusion, uncertainty and firm size

Jones and Ritz 1991 - Incorporating distribution into new products diffusion models

Bayus and Gupta 1992 - An empirical analysis of consumer durable replacement intentions

Cestre and Darmon 1992 - Assessing consumer preferences in the context of new product diffusion

Gauvin and Sinha 1993 - Innovativeness in industrial organizations a two-stage model of adoption

Padmanabhan and Bass 1993 - Optimal pricing of successive generations of product advances

Bayus 1994 - Optimal pricing and product development policies for new consumer durables

Franses 1994 - Modeling new product sales: an application of cointegration analysis

Parker and Gatignon 1994 - Specifying competitive effects in diffusion models: an empirical analysis

Kalish, Mahajan and Muller 1995 - Waterfall and sprinkler new product strategies in competitive global markets

Kim, Bridges and Srivastava 1999 - A simultaneous model for innovative product category sales diffusion and competitive dynamics

Venkatesh, Mahajan and Muller 2000 - Dynamic co-marketing alliances: when and why do they succeed or fail?

Montaguti Kuester Robertson 2002 - Entry strategy for radical product innovations: a conceptual model and propositional inventory

Prasad and Mahajan 2003 - How many pirates should a software firm tolerate?

Desiraju, Nair and Chintagunta 2004 - Diffusion of new pharmaceutical drugs in developing and developed nations

Stremersch and Tellis 2004 - Understanding and managing international growth of new products

Libai, Muller and Peres 2005 - The role of seeding in multi-market entry

Van Everdingen, Aghina and Fok 2005 - Forecasting cross-population innovation diffusion: a Bayesian approach

Goldenberg, Libai, Muller and Moldovan 2006 - The NPV of bad news

Jiang, Bass and Bass 2006 - The virtual Bass model and the left-hand truncation bias in diffusion of innovation studies

Journal International Journal of the Economics of Business

Baptista 2000 - Do innovations diffuse faster within geographical clusters?

Journal International Marketing Review

Lee 1990 - Determinants of national innovativeness and international market segmentation

Lynn and Gelb 1996 - Identifying innovative national markets for technical consumer goods

Journal Journal of Advertising Research

Kotler Zaltman 1976 - Targeting prospects for a new product

Zufryden 1996 - Linking advertising to Box office performance of new film releases: a marketing planning model

Zufryden 2000 - New film web site promotion and Box office performance

Zufryden 2000 - Relating web site promotion to the box office performance of new film releases

Journal Journal of Agricultural Economics

Akinola 1986 - An application of the Bass model in the analysis of diffusion of coco-spraying chemicals among nigerian cocoa farmers

Journal Journal of Business

Cox 1967 - Product life cycles as marketing models

Bass 1980 - The relationship between diffusion rates, experience curves, and demand elasticities for consumer durable technological innovations

Russell 1980 - Comments on the relationship between diffusion rates, experience curves, and demand elasticities for consumer durable technological innovations

Clarke, Darrough and Heineke 1982 - Optimal pricing policy in the presence of experience effects

Trajtenberg and Yitzhaki 1982 - The diffusion of innovations a methodological reappraisal

Clarke and Dolan 1984 - A simulation analysis of alternative pricing strategies for a dynamic environment

Kalish 1984 - Comments on "A simulation analysis of alternative pricing strategies for dynamic environments"

Haruvy, Mahajan and Prasad 2004 - The effect of piracy on the market penetration of subscription software

Journal Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

Jain and Rao 1990 - Effect of price on the demand for durables: modeling, estimation and findings

Chatfield 1993 - Calculating interval forecasts

Boswijk and Franses 2005 - On the econometrics of the Bass diffusion model

Journal Journal of Business and Industrial Marketing

Johnson and Bhatia 1997 - Technological substitution in mobile communications

Journal Journal of Business Research

Hyman 1988 - The timeliness problem in the application of bass-type new product growth models to durable sales forecasting

Sundqvist Frank Puumalainen 2005 - The effects of country characteristics, cultural similarity and adoption timing on the diffusion of wireless communications

Delre Jager Bijmolt Janssen 2007 - Targeting and timing promotional activities: an agent-based model for the takeoff of new products

Journal Journal of Conflict Resolution

Kobrin 1985 - Diffusion as an explanation of oil nationalization or the domino effect rides again

Journal Journal of Consumer Research

Midgley 1976 - A simple mathematical theory of innovative behavior

Midgley Dowling 1978 - Innovativeness: the concept and its measurement

Olshavsky 1980 - Time and the rate of adoption of innovations

Scott Yalch 1980 - Consumer response to initial product trial: a Bayesian analysis

Silver 1984 - A simple mathematical theory of innovative behavior: a comment

Gatignon and Robertson 1985 - A propositional inventory for new diffusion research

Journal Journal of Econometrics

Fok Franses 2007 - Modeling the diffusion of scientific publications

Journal Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

Feichtinger 1992 - Hopf bifurcation in an advertising diffusion model

Mukoyama 2006 - Rosenberg's "learning by using" and technology diffusion

Journal Journal of Economic Theory

Jensen 1982 - Adoption and diffusion of an innovation of uncertain profitability

Journal Journal of Economics and Business

Liebermann and Paroush 1982 - Economic aspects of diffusion models

Journal Journal of Financial Services Research

Snellman, Vesala and Humphrey 2001 - Substitution of non-cash payment instruments for cash in Europe

Journal

Journal of Forecasting

Meade 1984 - The use of growth curves in forecasting market development – a review and appraisal

Sharp 1984 - An interpretation of the non-symmetric responding logistic model in terms of price and experience effects

McGowan 1986 - The use of growth curves in forecasting market development

Kamakura and Balasubramanian 1987 - Long-Term forecasting with innovation diffusion models: the impact of replacement purchases

Meade 1988 - Forecasting with growth curves: the effect of error structure

Oren and Schwartz 1988 - Diffusion of new products in risk-sensitive markets

Tanny and Derzko 1988 - Innovators and imitators in innovation diffusion modeling

Karshenas and Stoneman 1992 - A flexible model of technological diffusion incorporating economic factors with an application to the spread of colour television ownership in the UK

Migon and Gamerman 1993 - Generalized exponential growth models – a Bayesian approach

Meade and Islam 1995 - Prediction intervals for growth curve forecasts

Bottomley and Fildes 1998 - The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion

Golder and Tellis 1998 - Beyond diffusion: an affordability model of the growth of new consumer durables

Hardie, Fader and Wisniewski 1998 - An empirical comparison of new product trial forecasting models

Putsis 1998 - Parameter variation and new product diffusion

Islam and Fiebig 2001 - Modelling the development of supply-restricted telecommunications markets

Steffens 2001 - An aggregate sales model for consumer durables incorporating a time-varying mean replacement age

Fader Hardie Zeithammer 2003 - Forecasting new product trial in a controlled test market environment

Journal Journal of Health Care Marketing

Sillup 1992 - Forecasting the adoption of new medical technology using the Bass model

Journal Journal of High Technology Management Research

Chanda Bardhan 2008 - Modelling innovation and imitation sales of products with multiple technological generations

Journal Journal of International Marketing

Ganesh 1998 - Converging trends within the European union: insights from an analysis of diffusion patterns

Tellefsen and Takada 1999 - The relationship between mass media availability and the multicountry diffusion of consumer products

Dwyer, Mesak and Hsu 2005 - An exploratory examination of the influence of national culture on cross-national product diffusion

Journal Journal of Management

Lee Smith Grimm 2003 - The effect of new product radicality and scope on the extent and speed of innovation diffusion

Journal

Journal of Marketing

Fourt Woodlock 1960 - Early prediction of market success of new grocery products

Robertson 1967 - The process of innovation and the diffusion of innovation

Mahajan Muller 1979 - Innovation diffusion and new product growth models in marketing

Morrison 1979 - Purchase intentions and purchase behavior

Mahajan Bretschneider Bradford 1980 - Feedback approaches to modeling structural shifts in market response

Day 1981 - The product life cycle: analysis and application issues

Dolan Jeuland 1981 - Experience curves and dynamic demand models: implications for optimal pricing strategies

Qualls, Olshavsky and Michaels 1981 - Shortening of the PLC: an empirical test

Tigert and Farivar 1981 - The Bass new product growth model: a sensitivity analysis for a high technology product

Narasimhan and Sen 1983 - New product models for test market data

Robertson and Gatignon 1986 - Competitive effects on technology diffusion

Feick and Price 1987 - The market maven: a diffuser of marketplace information

Gatignon and Robertson 1989 - Technology diffusion: an empirical test of competitive effects

Mahajan, Muller and Bass 1990 - New product diffusion models in marketing: a review and directions for research

Bayus 1991 - The consumer durable replacement buyer

Takada and Jain 1991 - Cross-national analysis of diffusion of consumer durable goods in Pacific Rim countries

Helsen, Jedidi and DeSarbo 1993 - A new approach to country segmentation utilizing multinational diffusion patterns

Mahajan, Sharma and Buzzell 1993 - Assessing the impact of competitive entry on market expansion and incumbent sales

Urban Hulland Weinberg 1993 - Premarket forecasting for new consumer durable goods: modeling categorization, elimination, and consideration phenomena

Givon, Mahajan and Muller 1995 - Software piracy: estimation of lost sales and the impact on software diffusion

Urban, Weinberg and Hauser 1996 - Premarket forecasting of really-new products

Eliashberg and Shugan 1997 - Film critics: influencers or predictors?

Steenkamp, ter Hofstede and Wedel 1999 - A crossnational investigation into the individual and national cultural antecedents of consumer innovativeness

Chandy Tellis 2000 - The incumbent's curse?

Cooper 2000 - Strategic marketing planning for radically new products

Lehmann and Weinberg 2000 - Sales through sequential distribution channels: an application to movies and videos

Rindfleisch and Moorman 2001 - The acquisition and utilization of information in new product alliances: a strength-of-ties perspective

Goldenberg, Libai and Muller 2002 - Riding the saddle: how cross-market communications can create a major slump in sales

Srinivasan Lilien Rangaswamy 2002 - Technological opportunism and radical technology adoption: an application to e-business

Shocker, Bayus and Kim 2004 - Product complements and substitutes in the real world: the relevance of other products

Wu Balasubramanian Mahajan 2004 - When is a preannounced new product likely to be delayed?

Sood and Tellis 2005 - Technological evolution and product innovation

Liu 2006 - Word of mouth for movies: its dynamics and impact on box office revenue

Okada 2006 - Upgrades and new purchases

Srinivasan Lilien Rangaswamy 2006 - The emergence of dominant designs

Prins Verhoef 2007 - Marketing communication drivers of adoption timing of a new e-service among existing customers

Stremersch, Tellis, Franses and Binken 2007 - Indirect network effects in new product growth

Journal

Journal of Marketing Research

Arndt 1967 - Role of product-related conversations in the diffusion of a new product

Claycamp Liddy 1969 - Prediction of new product performance: an analytical approach

Dodds 1973 - An application of the Bass model in long term new product forecasting

Parsons 1975 - The product life cycle and time-varying advertising elasticities

Blattberg Golanty 1978 - Tracker: an early test market forecasting and diagnostic model for new product planning

Lindberg 1982 - International comparison of growth in demand for a new durable consumer product

Louviere and Woodworth 1983 - Design and analysis of simulated consumer choice or allocation experiments: an approach based on aggregate data

Rao and Bass 1985 - Competition, strategy, and price dynamics: a theoretical and empirical investigation

Boker 1987 - A stochastic first-purchase diffusion model: a counting approach

Jamieson and Bass 1989 - Adjusting stated intention measures to predict trial purchase of new products: a comparison of models and methods

Mahajan, Muller and Srivastava 1990 - Determination of adopter categories using innovation diffusion models

Sultan, Farley and Lehmann 1990 - A meta-analysis of diffusion models

Vilcassim and Jain 1991 - Modeling purchase-timing and brand-switching behavior incorporating explanatory variables and unobserved heterogeneity

Morwitz and Schmittlein 1992 - Using segmentation to improve sales forecasts based on purchase intent: which "intenders" actually buy?

Parker 1992 - Price elasticity dynamics over the product life cycles

Sinha and Chandrashekaran 1992 - A split hazard model for analyzing the diffusion of innovations

Basu, Basu and Batra 1995 - Modeling the response pattern to direct marketing campaigns

Chandrashekaran and Sinha 1995 - Isolating the determinants of innovativeness: a split population tobit (SPOT) duration model of timing and volume of first and repeat purchase

Weerahandi and Moitra 1995 - Using survey data to predict adoption and switching for services

Heiman and Muller 1996 - Using demonstration to increase new product acceptance: controlling demonstration time

Bayus, Jain and Rao 1997 - Too little, too early: introduction timing and new product performance in the personal digital assistant industry

Boulding, Morgan and Staelin 1997 - Pulling the plug to stop the new product drain

Urban, Hauser, Qualls, Weinberg, Bohlmann and Chicos 1997 - Information acceleration: validation and lessons from the field

Xie, Song, Sirbu and Wang 1997 - Kalman filter estimation of new product diffusion models

Chintagunta and Haldar 1998 - Investigating purchase timing behavior in two related product categories

Krider and Weinberg 1998 - Competitive dynamics and the introduction of new products: the motion picture timing game

Mahajan and Muller 1998 - When is it worthwhile targeting the majority instead of the innovators in a new product launch?

Sonja and Shugan 1998 - Seasonal marketing and timing new product introductions

Bronnenberg, Mahajan and Vanhonacker 2000 - The emergence of market structure in new repeat-purchase categories: the interplay of market share and retail distribution

Dekimpe, Parker and Sarvary 2000 - Global diffusion of technological innovations: a coupled-hazard approach

Krishnan, Bass and Kumar 2000 - Impact of a late entrant on the diffusion of a new product/service

Bayus, Jain and Rao 2001 - Truth or consequences: an analysis of vaporware and new product announcements

Danaher, Hardie and Putsis 2001 - Marketing-mix variables and the diffusion of successive generations of a technological innovation

Henard and Szymanski 2001 - Why some new products are more successful than others

Hoeffler 2003 - Measuring preferences for really new products

Grewal, Mehta and Kardes 2004 - The timing of repeat purchases of consumer durable goods: the role of functional bases of consumer attitudes

Gupta, Lehmann and Stuart 2004 - Valuing customers

Wuyts, Stremersch, Van den Bulte and Franses 2004 - Vertical marketing systems for complex products: a triadic perspective

Narayanan Manchanda Chintagunta 2005 - Temporal differences in the role of marketing communication in new product categories

Herzenstein Posavac Brakus 2007 - Adoption of new and really new products: the effects of self-regulation systems and risk salience

Journal Journal of Mathematical Sociology

Karmeshu Pathria 1980 - Diffusion of information in a random environment

Karmeshu Pathria 1980 - Stochastic evolution of a nonlinear model of diffusion of information

Journal Journal of Money

Molyneux, Sharmrouky and Berger 1996 - Diffusion of financial innovations: the case of junk bonds and note issuance facilities

Journal Journal of Political Economy

Bonus 1973 - Quasi-Engel curves, diffusion and the ownership of major consumer durables

Katz and Shapiro 1986 - Technology adoption in the presence of network externalities

Bikhchandani, Hirshleifer and Welch 1992 - A theory of fads, fashion, custom and cultural change as information cascades

Journal Journal of Product and Brand Management

Karine, Frank and Laine 2004 - The effect of price on the diffusion of cellular subscriptions in Finland

Journal

Journal of Product Innovation Management

Rao 1985 - An empirical comparison of sales forecasting models

Thomas 1985 - Estimating market growth for new products: an analogical diffusion model approach

Teotia and Raju 1986 - Forecasting the market penetration of new technologies using a combination of economic cost and diffusion models

Bayus 1987 - Forecasting sales of new contingent products: an application to the compact disc markets

Bayus 1988 - Accelerating the durable replacement cycle with marketing mix variables

Holak 1988 - Determinants of innovative durables adoption

Bucklin and Sengupta 1993 - The co-diffusion of complementary innovations: supermarket scanners and UPC symbols

Bayus 1994 - Are product life cycles really getting shorter?

Redmond 1994 - Diffusion at sub-national levels: a regional analysis of new product growth

Jain, Mahajan and Muller 1995 - An approach for determining optimal product sampling for the diffusion of a new product

Mishra, Kim and Lee 1996 - Factors affecting new product success: cross-country comparisons

Bayus 1997 - Speed-to-market and new product performance trade-offs

Kumar, Ganesh and Echambadi 1998 - Cross national diffusion research: what do we know and how certain are we?

Kohli, Lehmann and Pae 1999 - Extent and impact of incubation time in new product diffusion

Dahan Hauser 2002 - The virtual customer

Bayus Kang Agarwal 2007 - Creating growth in new markets: a simultaneous model of firm entry and price

Journal Journal of Production and Innovation Management

Bayus, Hong and Labe 1989 - Developing and using forecasting models of consumer durables

Journal Journal of Public Policy and Marketing

Redmond 1996 - Product disadoption: quitting smoking as a diffusion process

Journal Journal of Retailing

Holak, Lehmann and Sultan 1987 - The role of expectations in the adoption of innovative consumer durables: some preliminary evidence

Venkatraman 1991 - The impact of innovativeness and innovation type on adoption

Journal Journal of Scientific and Industrial Research

Sharma, Basu and Bhargava 1993 - A new model of innovation diffusion

Journal Journal of Service Research

Mesak and Darrat 2002 - Optimal pricing of new subscriber services under interdependent adoption processes

Hogan, Lemon and Libai 2003 - What is the real value of a lost customer?

Mesak and Darrat 2003 - An empirical inquiry into new subscriber services under interdependent adoption processes

Journal Journal of Technology Transfer

Antonelli 2006 - Diffusion as a process of creative adoption

Journal Journal of the Market Research Society

Lackman 1978 - Gompertz curve forecasting: a new product application

Journal Journal of the Operational Research Society

Harvey 1984 - Time series forecasting based on the logistic curve

Meade 1985 - Forecasting using growth curves – an adaptive approach

Islam and Meade 1996 - Forecasting the development of the market for business telephones in the UK

Journal Journal of the Operations Research Society

Oliver 1987 - A Bayesian model to predict saturation and logistic growth

Journal Journal of the Royal Statistical Society

Bain 1963 - Demand for new commodities

Journal Long Range Planning

Hendry 1972 - The three parameter approach to long range forecasting

Journal

Management Science

Bass 1969 - A new product growth model for consumer durables

Bernhardt Mackenzie 1972 - Some problems in using diffusion models for new products

Robinson Lakhani 1975 - Dynamic price models for new product planning

Dodson Muller 1978 - Models of new product diffusion through advertising and word-of-mouth

Mahajan Peterson 1978 - Innovation diffusion in a dynamic potential adopter population

Heeler Hustad 1980 - Problems in predicting new product growth for consumer durables

Lilien, Rao and Kalish 1981 - Bayesian estimation and control of detailing effort in a repeat-purchase diffusion environment

Hauser Wisniewski 1982 - Dynamic analysis of consumer response to marketing  strategies

Mahajan and Peterson 1982 - Erratum to: "innovation diffusion in a dynamic potential adopter population"

Randles 1983 - On the diffusion of computer terminals in an established engineering environment

Teng and Thompson 1983 - Oligopoly models for optimal advertising

Mahajan, Muller and Kerin 1984 - Introduction strategy for new products with positive and negative word-of-mouth

Kalish 1985 - A new product adoption model with pricing, advertising and uncertainty

Wernerfelt 1985 - The dynamics of prices and market shares over the product life cycle

Dewar and Dutton 1986 - The adoption of radical and incremental innovations: an empirical analysis

Kalish and Lilien 1986 - A market entry timing model for new technologies

Norton and Bass 1987 - A diffusion theory model of adoption and substitution for successive generations of high-technology products

Simon and Sebastian 1987 - Diffusion and advertising: the German telephone campaign

Dockner and Jorgensen 1988 - Optimal advertising policies for diffusion models of new product innovations in monopolistic situations

Mahajan, Sharma and Bettis 1988 - The adoption of the M-Form organizational structure: a test of imitation hypothesis

Nascimento and Vanhonacker 1988 - Optimal strategic pricing of reproducible consumer products

Rao and Yamada 1988 - Forecasting with a repeat purchase diffusion model

Roberts and Urban 1988 - Modeling multivariate utility, risk, and belief dynamics for new consumer durable brand choice

Chatterjee and Eliashberg 1990 - The innovation diffusion process in a heterogeneous population: a micromodelling approach

Fershtman, Mahajan and Muller 1990 - Market share pioneering advantage: a theoretical approach

Lilien Yoon 1990 - The timing of competitive market entry: an exploratory study of new industrial products

Urban Hauser Roberts 1990 - Prelaunch forecasting of new automobiles: models and implementation

Bayus 1993 - High-definition television: assessing demand forecasts for a next generation consumer durable

Mansfield 1993 - The diffusion of flexible manufacturing systems in japan, Europe and the United States

Paich Sterman 1993 - Boom, bust, and failures to learn in experimental markets

Eliashberg and Sawhney 1994 - Modeling goes to hollywood: predicting individual differences in movie enjoyment

Meade and Islam 1998 - Technological forecasting-model selection, model stability and combining models

Krishnan, Bass and Jain 1999 - Optimal pricing strategy for new products

Kim, Chang and Shocker 2000 - Modeling intercategory and generational dynamics for a growing information technology industry

Goldenberg, Lehmann and Mazursky 2001 - The idea itself and the circumstances of its emergence as predictors of new product success

Agarwal and Bayus 2002 - Market evolution and sales takeoff of product innovations

Ho, Savin and Terwiesch 2002 - Managing demand and sales dynamics in new product diffusion under supply constraint

Bayus Erickson Jacobson 2003 - The financial rewards of new product introductions in the personal computer industry

Lee, Boatwright and Kamakura 2003 - Bayesian model for prelaunch sales forecasting of recorded music

Bass 2004 - Comments on "A new product growth for model consumer durables"

Souza Bayus Wagner 2004 - New-product strategy and industry clockspeed

Forman 2005 - The corporate digital divide: determinants of internet adoption

Singh 2005 - Collaborative networks as determinants of knowledge diffusion patterns

Krishnan and Jain 2006 - Optimal dynamic advertising policy for new products

Albuquerque Bronnenberg Corbett 2007 - A spatiotemporal analysis of the global diffusion of ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 certification

Bayus Agarwal 2007 - The role of pre-entry experience, entry timing, and product technology strategies in explaining firm survival

Eliashberg Hui Zhang 2007 - From story line to box office: a new approach for green-lighting movie scripts

Srinivasan Haunschild Grewal 2007 - Vicarious learning in new product introductions in the early years of a converging market

Sterman Henderson Beinhocker Newman 2007 - Getting big too fast: strategic dynamics with increasing returns and bounded rationality

Ding Eliashberg 2008 - A dynamic competitive forecasting model incorporating dyadic decision making

Moon Russell 2008 - Predicting product purchase from inferred customer similarity: an autologistic model approach

Rahmandad Sterman 2008 - Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: comparing agent-based and differential equation models

Journal Managerial and Decision Economics

Chatterjee and Sugita 1990 - New product introduction under demand uncertainty in competitive industries

Journal Manufacturing and Service Operation Management

Krankel, Duenyas and Kapuscinski 2006 - Timing successive product introductions with demand diffusion and stochastic technology improvement

Journal

Marketing Letters

Bayus 1992 - Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time?

Narayanan 1992 - Incorporating heterogeneous adoption rates in new product diffusion: a model and empirical investigations

Parker 1992 - Pricing strategies in markets with dynamic elasticities

Parker 1993 - Choosing among diffusion models: some empirical evidence

Dalal Weerahandi 1995 - Estimation of innovation diffusion models with application to a consumer durable

Joo Jun 1996 - Growth-cycle decomposition diffusion model

Parker and Gatignon 1996 - Order of entry, trial diffusion, and elasticity dynamics: an empirical case

Parker Neelamegham 1997 - Price elasticity dynamics over the product life cycle: a study of consumer durables

Winer 1997 - Discounting and its impact on durables buying decisions

Jedidi Krider Weinberg 1998 - Clustering at the movies

Steffens 1998 - Applying diffusion models with regional heterogeneity

Goldenberg, Libai and Muller 2001 - Talk of the network: a complex systems look at the underlying process of word-of-mouth

Putler Lele 2003 - An easily implemented framework for forecasting ticket sales to performing arts events

Swami Khairnar 2003 - Diffusion of products with limited supply and known expiration date

Lehmann and Esteban-Bravo 2006 - When giving some away makes sense to jump-start the diffusion process

Journal

Marketing Science

Bass and Bultez 1982 - A note on optimal strategic pricing of technological innovations

Hauser Wisniewski 1982 - Application predictive test, and strategy implications of a  dynamic model of consumer response

Kalwani and Silk 1982 - On the reliability and predictive validity of purchase intention measures

Schmittlein and Mahajan 1982 - Maximum likelihood estimation for an innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance

Easingwood, Mahajan and Muller 1983 - A nonuniform influence innovation diffusion model of new product acceptance

Horsky and Simon 1983 - Advertising and the diffusion of new products

Kalish 1983 - Monopolistic pricing with dynamic demand and production cost

Kalish and Lilien 1983 - Optimal price subsidy policy for accelerating the diffusion of innovation

Hauser Gaskin 1984 - Application of the Defender consumer model

Mahajan, Muller and Sharma 1984 - An empirical comparison of awareness forecasting models of new product acceptance

Thompson and Teng 1984 - Optimal pricing and advertising policies for new product oligopoly models

Dhebar and Oren 1985 - Optimal dynamic pricing for expanding networks

Meyer and Sathi 1985 - A multiattribute model of consumer choice during product learning

Rust and Schmittlein 1985 - A Bayesian cross-validated likelihood method for comparing alternative specifications of quantitative models

Winer 1985 - A price vector model of demand for consumer durables: preliminary developments

Eliashberg and Jeuland 1986 - The impact of competitive entry in a developing market upon dynamic pricing strategies

Infosino 1986 - Forecasting new product sales from likelihood of purchase ratings

Mahajan and Muller 1986 - Advertising pulsing policies for generating awareness for new products

Srinivasan and Mason 1986 - Nonlinear least squares estimation of new product diffusion models

Dockner and Jorgensen 1988 - Optimal pricing strategies for new products in dynamic oligopolies

Gatignon, Eliashberg and Robertson 1989 - Modeling multinational diffusion patterns: an efficient methodology

Narasimhan 1989 - Incorporating consumer price expectations in diffusion models

Wilson and Norton 1989 - Optimal entry time for a product line extension

Horsky 1990 - A diffusion model incorporating product benefits, price, income and information

Horsky 1990 - The effects of income, price and information on the diffusion of new consumer durables

Lenk and Rao 1990 - New models from old: forecasting product adoption by hierarchical Bayes procedures

Mason 1990 - New product entries and product class demand

Jain, Mahajan and Muller 1991 - Innovation diffusion in the presence of supply restrictions

Jain and Vilcassim 1991 - Investigating household purchase timing decisions: a conditional hazard function approach

Bayus 1992 - Dynamic pricing of next-generation consumer durables

Weerahandi and Dalal 1992 - A choice-based approach to the diffusion of a service: forecasting fax penetration by market segments

Helsen and Schmittlein 1993 - Analyzing duration times in marketing: evidence for the effectiveness of hazard rate models

Bass, Krishnan and Jain 1994 - Why the Bass model fits without decision variables

Hahn, Park, Krishnamurthi and Zoltners 1994 - Analysis of new product diffusion using a four segment trial-repeat model

Mahajan, Muller and Bass 1995 - Diffusion of new products: empirical generalizations and managerial uses

Ganesh and Kumar 1996 - Capturing the cross-national learning effect: an analysis of an industrial technology diffusion

Sawhney and Eliashberg 1996 - A parsimonious model for forecasting gross box-office revenues of motion pictures

Ganesh, Kumar and Subramaniam 1997 - Learning effect in multinational diffusion of consumer durables: an exploratory investigation

Golder and Tellis 1997 - Will it ever fly?

Putsis, Balasubramanian, Kaplan and Sen 1997 - Mixing behavior in cross-country diffusion

Sarvary Parker 1997 - Marketing information: a competitive analysis

Van den Bulte and Lilien 1997 - Bias and systematic change in the parameter estimates of macro-level diffusion models

Bayus Putsis 1999 - Product proliferation: an empirical analysis of product line determinants and market outcomes

Gupta, Jain and Sawhney 1999 - Modeling the evolution of markets with indirect network externalities: an application to digital television

Neelamegham and Chintagunta 1999 - A Bayesian model to forecast new product performance in domestic and international markets

Swami, Eliashberg and Weinberg 1999 - Silverscreener: a modeling approach to movie screen management

Eliashberg, Jonker, Sawhney and Wierenga 2000 - MOVIEMOD: an implementable decision support system for pre-release market evaluation of motion pictures

Van den Bulte 2000 - New product diffusion acceleration: measurement and analysis

Bronnenberg and Mahajan 2001 - Unobserved retail behavior in multimarket data: joint spatial dependence in market shares and promotional

Goldenberg, Libai and Muller 2001 - Using complex systems analysis to advance marketing theory development: modeling heterogeneity effects on new product growth through stochastic cellular automata

Bemmaor and Lee 2002 - The impact of heterogeneity and ill-conditioning on diffusion model parameter estimates

Kumar and Krishnan 2002 - Multinational diffusion models: an alternative framework

Kumar and Krishnan 2002 - Research note: multinational diffusion models: an alternative framework

Moe and Fader 2002 - Using advanced purchase orders to forecast new product sales

Talukdar, Sudhir and Ainslie 2002 - Investigating new product diffusion across products and countries

Elberse and Eliashberg 2003 - Demand and supply dynamics for sequentially released products in international markets: the case of motion pictures

Pae and Lehmann 2003 - Multigeneration innovation diffusion: the impact of intergeneration time

Tellis, Stremersch and Yin 2003 - The international takeoff of new products: the role of economics, culture and country innovativeness

Bronnenberg and Mela 2004 - Market rollout and retailer adoption for new brands

Foster, Golder and Tellis 2004 - Predicting sales takeoff for whirlpool’s new personal valet

Garber, Goldenberg, Libai and Muller 2004 - From density to destiny: using spatial dimension of sales data for early prediction of new product success

Golder and Tellis 2004 - Growing, growing, gone: cascades, diffusion, and turning points in the product life cycle

Pae Lehmann 2004 - Intergeneration time effects

Roberts, Morrison and Nelson 2004 - Implementing a prelaunch diffusion model: measurement and management challenges of the Telstra switching study

Van den Bulte 2004 - Multigeneration innovation diffusion and intergeneration time: a cautionary note

Van den Bulte and Stremersch 2004 - Social contagion and income heterogeneity in new product diffusion: a meta-analytic test

Venkatesan, Krishnan and Kumar 2004 - Evolutionary estimation of macro-level diffusion models using genetic algorithms: an alternative to nonlinear least squares

Ainslie, Drèze and Zufryden 2005 - Modeling movie life cycles and market share

Bharadwaj Clark Kulviwat 2005 - Marketing, market growth and endogenous growth theory: an inquiry into the causes of market growth

Debruyne and Reibstein 2005 - Competitor see, competitor do: incumbent entry in new market niches

Roberts, Nelson and Morrison 2005 - A prelaunch diffusion model for evaluating market defense strategies

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Hauser, Tellis and Griffin 2006 - Research on innovation: a review and agenda for marketing science

Luo Kannan Ratchford 2007 - New product development under channel acceptance

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Van den Bulte and Joshi 2007 - New product diffusion with influentials and imitators

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Karmeshu Sharma 2007 - Truncating the hierarchy of moment equations based on point distribution—application to innovation diffusion

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Bresnahan, Stern and Trajtenberg 1997 - Market segmentation and the sources of rents from innovation: personal computers in the late 1980s

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Levin, Levin and Meisel 1987 - A dynamic analysis of the adoption of a new technology: the case of optical scanners

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Lilien 1980 - The implications of diffusion models for accelerating the diffusion of innovation

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Easingwood Mahajan Muller 1981 - A nonsymmetric responding logistic model for forecasting technological substitution

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Mahajan, Sharma and Wind 1985 - Assessing the impact of patent infringement on new product sales

Olson and Choi 1985 - A product diffusion model incorporating repeat purchases

Skiadas 1985 - Two generalized rational models for forecasting innovation diffusion

Srivastava, Mahajan, Ramaswami and Cherian 1985 - A multi-attribute diffusion model for forecasting the adoption of investment alternatives for consumers

Young and Ord 1985 - The use of discounted least-squares in technological forecasting

Bretschneider and Bozeman 1986 - Adaptive diffusion models for the growth of robotics in new york state industry

Mahajan and Sharma 1986 - Simple algebraic estimation procedure for innovation diffusion models of new product acceptance

Skiadas 1986 - Innovation diffusion models expressing asymmetry and/or positively or negatively influencing forces

Gore and Lavaraj 1987 - Innovation diffusion in a heterogeneous population

Lee and Lu 1987 - On a family of data-based transformed models useful in forecasting technological substitution

Gordon and Greenspan 1988 - Chaos and fractals: new tools for technological and social forecasting

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Mahajan Muller 1991 - Pricing and diffusion of primary and contingent product

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Debecker and Modis 1994 - Determination of the uncertainties in s-curve logistic fits

Edler Rbiakova 1994 - The impact of industrial robots on the level and structure of employment in Germany - a simulation study for the period 1980-2000

Mahajan and Muller 1994 - Will the 1992 unification of the European community accelerate diffusion of new ideas, products, and technologies?

Sharma and Bhargava 1994 - A non-homogeneous non-uniform influence model of innovation diffusion

Kim, Mahajan and Srivastava 1995 - Determining the going market value of a business in an emerging information technology industry: the case of the cellular communications industry

Speece and MacLachlan 1995 - Application of a multi-generation diffusion model to milk container technology

Mahajan and Muller 1996 - Timing, diffusion and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: the IBM mainframe case

Putsis 1996 - Temporal aggregation in diffusion models of first-time purchase: does choice of frequency matter?

Decanio Laitner 1997 - Modeling technological change in energy demand forecasting: a generalized approach

Givon, Mahajan and Muller 1997 - Assessing the relationship between user-based market share and unit salesbased market share for pirated software brands in competitive markets

Islam and Meade 1997 - The diffusion of successive generations of a technology: a more general model

Dekimpe, Parker and Sarvary 1998 - Staged estimation of international diffusion models: an application to global cellular telephone adoption

Kurawarwala and Matsuo 1998 - Product growth models for medium-term forecasting of short life cycle products-some empirical results

Jun and Park 1999 - A choice based diffusion model for multiple generations of products

Dekimpe, Parker and Sarvary 2000 - Globalization: modeling technology adoption timing across countries

Baptista 2001 - Geographical clusters and innovation diffusion

Goldenberg Efroni 2001 - Using cellular automata modeling of the emergence of innovations

Versluis 2002 - DRAMs, fibre and energy compared with three models of penetration

Meade and Islam 2003 - Modelling the dependence between the times to international adoption of two related technologies

Non Franses Laheij Rokers 2003 - Yet another look at temporal aggregation in diffusion models of first-time purchase

Sohn and Ahn 2003 - Multi-generation diffusion model for economic assessment of new technology

Steffens 2003 - A model of multiple ownership as a diffusion process

Frank 2004 - An analysis of the effect of the economic situation on modelling and forecasting the diffusion of wireless communications in Finland

Goswami and Karmeshu 2004 - Study of population heterogeneity in innovation diffusion model: estimation based on simulated annealing

Moldovan Goldenberg 2004 - Cellular automata modeling of resistance to innovations: effects and solutions

Kim Lee Kim 2005 - Demand forecasting for multigenerational products combining discrete choice and dynamics of diffusion under technological trajectories

Chen and Watanabe 2006 - Diffusion, substitution and competition dynamism inside the ICT market: the case of Japan

Ilonen Kamarainen Puumalainen Sundqvist Kalviainen 2006 - Toward automatic forecasts for diffusion of innovations

Lee, Cho, Lee and Lee 2006 - Forecasting future demand for large-screen television sets using conjoint analysis with diffusion model

Muller and Yogev 2006 - When does the majority become a majority?

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Yeon, Park and Kim 2006 - A dynamic diffusion model for managing customer expectations and satisfaction

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Lee Lee Kim 2008 - Demand forecasting for new technology with a short history in a competitive environment: the case of the home networking market in south Korea

Shih 2008 - Contagion effects of electronic commerce diffusion: perspective from network analysis of industrial structure

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Grantham Tsekouras 2005 - Diffusing wireless applications in a mobile world

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Hjorth 1980 - A reliability distribution with increasing, decreasing, constant and bathtub-shaped failure rates

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Mahler and Rogers 1999 - The diffusion of interactive communication innovations and the critical mass: the adoption of telecommunications services by German banks

Botelho and Pinto 2004 - The diffusion of cellular phones in Portugal

Wareham, Levy and Shi 2004 - Wireless diffusion and mobile computing: implications for the digital divide

Rouvinen 2006 - Diffusion of digital mobile telephony: are developing countries different?

Tookey Whalley Howick 2006 - Broadband diffusion in remote and rural scotland

Robertson Soopramanien Fildes 2007 - Segmental new-product diffusion of residential broadband services

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Hagerstrand 1953 - Innovation diffusion as a spatial process

Sterman 2000 - Business dynamics:  systems thinking and modeling for a complex world

Wasson 1978 - Dynamic competitive strategy and product life cycles

Mahajan and Peterson 1985 - Models for innovation diffusion